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J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 1998;116:412-416
© 1998 Mosby, Inc.
General Thoracic Surgery |
Supported by the Veterans Affairs Department of Research.
Received for publication Nov. 24, 1997. Revisions requested Jan. 30, 1998; revisions received May 14, 1998. Accepted for publication June 3, 1998. Address for reprints: Jeffrey B. Rubins, MD, Pulmonary (111N), VAMedical Center, One Veterans Dr, Minneapolis, MN 55417.
| Abstract |
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| Introduction |
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Despite this evidence, the preoperative measurement of serum CEA has notbeen incorporated into the staging evaluation of patients considered forresection of lung cancer. Because assay of CEA is an inexpensive, readilyavailable preoperative serum test that may correlate with aspects of tumorbiology not measured by conventional staging modalities, we sought to re-examinein our clinical practice whether preoperative measurement of serum CEA addeduseful prognostic data to the current preoperative staging algorithm includingcomputed tomography (CT), bronchoscopy, and mediastinoscopy. In addition, weattempted to characterize the biologic plausibility of CEA as a predictive toolby correlating elevations in serum CEA with tumor size, histologic type, andstage.
| Patients and methods |
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In all 130 patients, the disease was staged by history, physicalexamination, laboratory tests including liver function and serum calcium, CTfrom the chest through the adrenal glands, and bronchoscopy. Patients in whomadvanced disease was suspected on the basis of systemic symptoms (especiallyweight loss), abnormal laboratory tests (especially elevations in levels ofalkaline phosphatase or calcium), or who had larger or more central tumors hadadditional radiographic studies including CT of the head and abdomen andradionuclide bone scans. Solitary lesions suggestive of metastatic spread ofcancer from distant sites were evaluated by CT-guided needle biopsy. Allpatients with potentially resectable lung cancer underwent exploration bymediastinoscopy and intraoperative bronchoscopy before thoracotomy.Contralateral lymph nodes were sampled during mediastinoscopy, and mediastinallymph node dissection was performed for pneumonectomy and lobectomy cases.Thoracic surgeons and patients were kept blinded to the results of CEAdeterminations throughout the study. All thoracotomies were performed within 4weeks of the serum CEA measurements.
Patient demographic data and pathology reports were obtained from thehospital computer database. Date of last contact or date of death was obtainedby scanning the hospital computer database and tumor registry for admissions,outpatient visits, and dates of death. For patients who could not be clearlyidentified as alive (outpatient or inpatient visit within the past 2 months) ordead from the hospital computer records, the Veterans Administration BeneficiaryIdentification and Records Locator System database was used to ascertain datesof death.
CEA assay
Blood was allowed to clot, and serum was separated by centrifugation andfrozen at 20°C until assayed. Serum CEA was measured by meansof the Tandem solid-phase 2-site radioimmunoassay (Hybritech Inc, San Diego,Calif). The detection limit of the assay was 1 ng/mL, with within-run andbetween-run coefficients of variation of 5.9% and 6.9%,respectively. According to the manufacturer, the upper limit of normal for thisassay for healthy individuals was 3 ng/mL; serum CEA values exceeded 5 ng/mL and10 ng/mL, respectively, in 11% and 7% of patients with malignantpulmonary disease.
Statistical analysis
The following analytic approach was taken to assess whether preoperativeCEA levels add useful prognostic information about length of survival beyondthat supplied by the standard prognostic variables of pathologic stage, tumorsize, histologic type, and patient age at the time of operation. This analysisincluded only those patients who underwent surgical resection of their tumor (n = 50). Pathologic stage was dichotomized intostage 3 or higher versus stages 1 and 2. Histologic type was categorized asadenocarcinoma, squamous cell carcinoma, or other. The date of operation wasincluded in the models to control for any possible bias that would be introducedas a result of the differing lengths of time at risk. Survival was calculatedfrom the date of operation to the date of death or last contact. A Coxproportional hazards model was fitted to the data incorporating the covariates(stage, tumor size, histologic type, age, and date of operation) other than CEA.CEA was then added to the model, after diagnostics examining plots of residualsand tests for power transformations indicated that the only usefultransformation was rounding the CEA level to the nearest integer (CEA values >25 were coded as 25). The likelihood ratio test was used to compare thedifference in the two models (with and without CEA). Risk ratios and 95%confidence intervals were derived from the model. Interaction terms between CEAand histologic type, size, and stage were subsequently introduced into the modelbut were not significant and are not presented here. From the model we alsoderived estimates of the effect of various CEA levels on 3-year survival forpatients with stage 1 and 2 squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinomaseparately, using the observed mean value for the other covariates.
To study the biologic plausibility of CEA as a prognostic indicator inlung cancer, we investigated univariate associations between CEA and histologictype, surgical stage, tumor size, and liver function tests. Because of theskewed distribution of serum CEA concentrations, median values are presented andassociations of serum CEA concentrations with histologic type and TNM stage wereanalyzed by Kruskal-Wallis 1-way analysis of variance with post hoc comparisonsby Wilcoxon rank sum tests. Associations between serum CEA concentrations andtumor size were by Pearson bivariate correlation. Analyses were performed bymeans of SPSS for Windows (release 6.1, Chicago, Ill) and SAS (release 6.11, SASInc, Cary, NC). All P values are two-tailed.
| Results |
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In a multivariate analysis of the 50 resected cases, we evaluated theutility of preoperative CEA as a predictor of long-term survival, as describedunder Patients and methods. The likelihoodratio test comparing the Cox proportional hazards model, first without and thenwith CEA added as a covariate to the model, indicated that CEA was a significantpredictor of survival independent of patient age, pathologic stage, histologictype, and tumor size (P = .0357). Themodel-estimated risk ratio for CEA level is 1.086 (95% CI: 1.009, 1.169),indicating that for each increase of CEA of 1 ng/mL, the hazard (risk) of deathincreases by 8.6%. Estimated probabilities of 3-year survival by CEAlevel for stage 1 and 2 adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma are shown inTable I. For example, the estimated probability of surviving 3years after surgery for patients with stage 1 or 2 squamous cell carcinoma isapproximately 60% for those with preoperative CEA levels less than 2ng/mL, but only 40% for those with CEA levels of 7 ng/mL, and 20%for those with CEA levels of 14 ng/mL. For patients with stage 1 or 2adenocarcinoma, the 3-year survival probabilities for these three levels of CEAare approximately 45%, 30%, and 10%, respectively. However,the confidence intervals around these survival probability estimates are widebecause of the relatively small number of cases available for analysis.
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| Discussion |
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The biologic basis for the association between serum CEA and survival inlung cancer remains obscure. Serum CEA is related to tumor histologic type. Wefound significantly higher serum CEA concentrations in adenocarcinomas and smallcell carcinomas than in large cell and squamous cell carcinomas, in agreementwith previous reports.
7,8,10,11Interestingly, tumor production of CEA measured by immunocytochemical stainingor assay of tumor cytosolic concentrations does not correlate with serum CEAconcentrations and does not predict survival in lung cancer, even whensimultaneously measured serum CEA levels do.
2,9,12 In addition to the weakrelationship between cellular production of CEA and serum levels, we and othersfound no significant association with primary tumor size and serum CEAconcentrations.
4,5 Although serum CEA may reflectproduction by tumor at other sites, we found no significant association betweenTNM stage and serum CEA concentrations in 130 cases, in agreement with otherstudies.
4,6,7 In addition, one autopsy study ofpatients with lung cancer concluded that serum CEA concentrations are notrelated to the number of organs involved or the sites of metastatic cancer.
5 Serum CEA is cleared primarily by theliver and is thought to be elevated in colorectal carcinoma in cases of livermetastases. However, we found no association between liver function tests andserum CEA concentrations. Given the size of our study, we cannot definitivelyexclude a contribution of some of these factors to net serum CEA concentrations.At present, we can only conclude from our study and from publishedinvestigations that the exact mechanism of elevated serum CEA concentrations inlung cancers remains unclear.
In summary, serum CEA has all of the properties desired for a biologicmeasure to be used as a prognostic indicator in the clinical evaluation of lungcancer. It is objective, reproducible, and can be evaluated before theoperation. Although a number of other serum tumor markers, including tissuepolypeptide antigen and CA-125, appear to also have prognostic utility in thepreoperative evaluation of lung cancer,
9currently serum CEA is the only one of these that is inexpensive and routinelyavailable. Serum CEA also has distinct advantages over the variety of othertumor markers that are being investigated to better understand lung cancerbiology. Markers of histologic features, such as tumor grade, mitotic index, andvascular invasion, and immunocytochemical assays of oncogene products such asp53, ras, and others,
13 furnish at most semiquantitativeinformation, are subject to interobserver variation, and require resection of afinite volume of tumor for studies to be accomplished. Direct genetic studies,such as DNA sequencing and polymerase chain reaction single-strandedconformational polymorphism, are presently available only as research tools andhave the same limitations.
Taking together our data and previously published studies, we concludethat routine preoperative serum CEA measurements are an important adjunct toconventional anatomic tumor staging algorithms, particularly for patients withadenocarcinoma. Marked elevations of serum CEA are indications for full andcareful staging despite apparent localized disease on chest radiographs and CT.In such patients, especially those who are marginal surgical candidates due tounderlying illnesses, the poor prognosis implied by the test may be factoredinto decisions regarding surgical resection. Further studies are required todetermine whether immediate or delayed postoperative adjuvant treatment mightimprove the outcome for these patients. Although such therapies have not hadconclusive benefit for patients with nonsmall cell lung cancer, the useof serum tumor markers such as CEA may be a superior means of identifying suchpatients for these adjuvant therapies.
| Acknowledgments |
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| References |
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