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J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 1998;116:417-431
© 1998 Mosby, Inc.
Surgery for Congenital Heart Disease |
From the Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery,Deborah Heart and Lung Center, Browns Mills, NJ, The Department of Surgery,University of Alabama at Birmingham, The Division of Cardiac Surgery, Departmentof Surgery, Loma Linda University, Loma Linda, and the Congenital Heart SurgeonsSociety.
Presented at the Seventieth Scientific Sessions, American HeartAssociation, Orlando, Fla, Nov 11, 1997.
Received for publication May 14, 1998; revisions requested May 19,1998; revisions received May 26, 1998; accepted for publication May 26, 1998. Address for reprints: Marshall L. Jacobs, MD, Deborah Heart and LungCenter, 200 Trenton Rd, Browns Mills, NJ 08015
| Abstract |
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| Introduction |
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A study of outcomes in a large group of neonates with aortic atresiacould be of value to perinatologists, neonatologists, pediatric cardiologistsand surgeons, and others involved in the support and management of families withfetuses and neonates with aortic atresia. A multi-institutional study was begunto provide such information. Analysis is centered around the intention to treat(or not treat) with a protocol based on (1) staged reconstructive surgery(Norwood procedure followed ultimately by Fontan-type reconstruction), (2) hearttransplantation as initial definitive therapy, or (3) no surgical treatment.Among the goals of the study were to define the spectrum of cardiac morphologyassociated with aortic valve atresia, to define the spectrum of surgicalapproaches currently used and their respective outcomes, and to undertakeanalyses leading to inferences concerning the impact of patient characteristicsand treatment strategies on outcome. In this initial report of the CongenitalHeart Surgeons Society Multi-Institutional Study, analysis is strictly limitedto those patients with aortic valve atresia (a database has been simultaneouslygenerated for patients with aortic valve stenosis and associated left heartobstructive lesions), and consideration of outcomes is limited to determinationof intermediate-term survival.
| Patients and methods |
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Follow-up
The physician, family, or guardian of each patient not known to be deadwas contacted each year since the beginning of the study. The most recentfollow-up was conducted from January through March 1997. At that time, 165patients were known to be dead. During the 1997 follow-up, 149 of the 158patients not known to be dead were successfully traced. Seven additionalpatients have follow-up through 1996. Only 2 patients not known to be dead haveno follow-up since the time of hospital discharge. Median follow-up time forsurvivors is 20 months, range 1.1 to 38 months; mean follow-up time forsurvivors is 21 ± 9.6 months (standard deviation).
Morphology
Estimates of left ventricular size and of the structure and patency ofthe mitral valve were obtained from echocardiographic reports from theparticipating institutions. Information regarding associated cardiac anomaliesand size of the ascending aorta were obtained from echocardiographic andoperative reports.
Protocols
Each patient was entered into 1 of 3 protocols based on initial intentionto treat at the participating institution. Thus all patients listed for hearttransplantation were considered to have entered the heart transplantationprotocol. All patients managed with intent to perform an initial palliativereconstructive operation were considered to have entered the stagedreconstructive surgery protocol. Patients who entered into neither surgicaltreatment protocol were considered to have entered a protocol of nonsurgicalmanagement. Analysis was undertaken in relation to intention to treat (initialprotocol assignment). Inasmuch as there were a few instances of crossover (fromnonsurgical management to either of the treatment protocols or from one surgicaltreatment protocol to the other), analysis was subsequently undertaken withrespect to the event of either Norwood procedure or heart transplant operation.
Data collection and analyses
Copies of all hospital documents were sent to the Data and AnalysisCenter at the University of Alabama at Birmingham. The data were abstracted intocomputer files, and these and the copies of the hospital documents were retainedin confidential storage. Numerous tabulations, contingency tables, and lifetable analyses (Kaplan-Meier method) were made. Time-related freedom from deathor other outcome events, and the hazard function, were also computedparametrically. Numerous multivariable analyses were made in the time-relatedhazard function regression domain
10;other regression models were used when indicated. All continuous variables wereexamined as continuous variables (not polytomized). Interaction terms weresought in all multivariable analyses: in equations of this paper, these may bethought of as terms (variables) that are active or inactive only in certainspecified relations with other variables. Variables with a Pvalue < .1 were retained in the final equation. Variables used in themultivariable analyses and incremental risk factors for death at any time afterentry are listed in Appendix B.
To estimate the proportion of neonates entering each of the two surgicalprotocols that will achieve definitive repair, a Competing Risks of EventsAnalysis was performed.
11The mutually exclusive definitive states after entry into the stagedreconstructive surgery protocol were as follows: Fontan operation, 2-ventriclerepair, crossover to heart transplantation, and death before definitive repair.Those for the heart transplantation protocol were heart transplantation,crossover to a Norwood operation, and death while awaiting transplantation.
| Results |
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Survival
For all 323 patients, survival at 1, 3, 12, 24, and 36 months after entrywas 63%, 55%, 50%, 48%, and 47%, respectively(Fig. 1, A).
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Transplantation protocol
The 49 patients entered into a heart transplantation protocol weredistributed among 6 different institutions, with 3 institutions accounting for45 (92%) of the patients. Time-related survival among the 49 patientsentered into a heart transplantation protocol is depicted in Fig. 6,A.
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That the altered natural history of patients receiving supportive care inanticipation of eventual transplantation is markedly different from the naturalhistory of the disease itself is illustrated in Fig. 8, depictingnon-risk-adjusted survival of patients awaiting transplantation and of those inthe nonsurgical treatment protocol.
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| Discussion |
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Study design did not enable us to ascertain whether there are anatomic,morphologic, or other patient characteristics which for this specific cardiacanomaly would mitigate for a higher likelihood of survival with one or the otherof the surgical treatment strategies. It has been speculated, for example, thatthis may be true with regard to either severe tricuspid valve incompetence orpulmonary venous obstruction resulting from intact atrial septum or anomalies ofpulmonary venous return. Although these last 2 were among the associated cardiacanomalies included in the multivariable analyses, their relatively lowprevalence together with the overall mortality of approximately 50% mayhave led to an underestimate of their potential importance.
The study is also limited by our current inability to identify andanalyze any late-phase events associated with either of the treatmentstrategies. Certainly a consideration of the late-phase events after creation ofthe Fontan-type circulation (eg, ventricular dysfunction, arrhythmias,protein-losing enteropathy) and those after transplantation (eg, late rejection,lymphoproliferative disease, graft atherosclerosis) is essential to the overallcomparison of surgical treatment strategies for aortic atresia. Additionally,the majority of patients enrolled in the reconstructive surgical protocol haveyet to undergo a definitive repair (Fontan operation), although to datemortality for the second- and third-stage procedures has been low. It should bepossible, after a longer period of follow-up of this patient cohort, to knowmore about the relative efficacy of treatment strategies.
Inferences as to therapy
For neonates with aortic atresia, supportive medical therapy (as appliedin anticipation of transplantation as initial and definitive therapy) results ina drastic alteration of the adverse natural history associated with the lesionitself. As such, it is possible that the application of the same principles ofsupportive therapy to all patients in anticipation of either transplantation orpalliative reconstructive surgery might favorably affect overall survival.Although the interval between entry and procedure was among those factorsanalyzed in the multivariable analyses and was not found to be predictive ofsurvival, 75% of the patients who underwent a Norwood operation did so by8 days of age, whereas the median age for heart transplantation was 1.9 months.The experience of the transplant centers is supportive of the inference that themajority of patients can be successfully stabilized and supported for a periodof time, obviating the necessity for early emergency surgery in most instances.It would be of interest to explore the hypothesis that an additional period ofmedical stabilization and supportive therapy might favorably affect the outcomeof initial palliative reconstructive surgery.
It was not uniformly the case that every high-volume center was among thelow-risk institutions. At the same time, the nearly exclusive use of one or theother of the 2 surgical treatment protocols at each of the 4 low-riskinstitutions suggests that a strong institutional commitment to a particulartherapeutic strategy is a principal ingredient of intermediate-term success. Atthe present time, survival of neonates with aortic atresia managed by either ofthe 2 surgical treatment protocols at a low-risk institution is slightly greaterthan 60% at 2 years. This is not importantly lower than the likelihood ofsurvival for patients with some of the other challenging congenital heartmalformations that require initial surgical interventions during the newbornperiod.
17,18 This study was intentionallylimited to an examination of survival after initial neonatal management ofaortic atresia. Additional follow-up and further analyses of this relativelylarge patient group may further enhance our ability to optimize the medical andsurgical management of patients with this challenging cardiac malformation.
| Appendix A |
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Mott Children's Hospital, Ann Arbor, MI; The University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL; The Children's Hospital, Boston, MA; The Children's Hospital of Buffalo, Buffalo, NY; Children's Memorial Hospital, Chicago, IL; The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL; Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, OH; The Children's Hospital, Denver, CO; The Children's Hospital of Michigan, Detroit, MI; Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC; The Milton S. Hershey Medical Center, Hershey, PA; Loma Linda University Medical Center, Loma Linda, CA; The Children's Hospital of Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; Jackson Memorial Hospital, Miami, FL; Columbia-Presbyterian Medical Center, New York, NY; The Children's Memorial Hospital, Omaha, NB; The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA; University of Pittsburgh Children's Hospital, Pittsburgh, PA; The Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN; The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, ON, Canada; Georgetown University Medical Center, Washington, DC.
| Appendix B1. Aortic valve atresia (CHSS; 1994-1997; n=323): Variables used in the multivariable analyses |
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| Appendix B2. Aortic valve atresia (CHSS; 1994-1997; n=323): Incremental risk factors for death at any time after entry, entering patient-specific variables only |
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| Appendix B3. Aortic valve atresia (CHSS; 1994-1997; n=323): Incremental risk factors for death at any time after entry, entering protocol factors only (above) and patient and protocol factors (below) |
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| Appendix B4. Aortic valve atresia (CHSS; 1994-1997; n=323): Incremental risk factors for death at any time after entry, entering patient-related factors, protocol factors, and experience factors |
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