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J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2000;119:27-038
© 2000 Mosby, Inc.


CARDIOTHORACIC TRANSPLANTATION

SURVEILLANCE TRANSBRONCHIAL LUNG BIOPSIES: IMPLICATION FOR SURVIVAL AFTER LUNG TRANSPLANTATION

Scott J. Swanson, MD, Steve J. Mentzer, MD, John J. Reilly, MD, Raphael Bueno, MD, Jeanne M. Lukanich, MD, Michael T. Jaklitsch, MD, Lester Kobzik, MD, Edward P. Ingenito, MD, Anne Fuhlbrigge, MD, Carolyn Donovan, MD, Charlotte McKee, MD, Kathleen Boyle, RN, Gregory P. Fagan, BS, David J. Sugarbaker, MD

From the Lung Transplant Program, Brigham and Women’s Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass.

Address for reprints: Scott J. Swanson, MD, Division of Thoracic Surgery, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, 75 Francis St, Boston, MA 02115 (E-mail: sjswanson{at}bics.bwh.harvard.edu).


    Abstract
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 Appendix: Discussion
 References
 
Objectives: We wished to determine whether early rejection after lung transplantation as assessed by surveillance transbronchial biopsy predicts for survival.
Methods: Between 1990 and 1997, 96 consecutive patients had lung transplantation: 89 had a minimum 1-month follow-up. For 71 consecutive patients we have 1-year follow-up and for 69 patients we have the results of the first 3 biopsies. Cytomegalovirus status, bronchiolitis obliterans prevalence, and use of total lymphoid irradiation are noted. Biopsies were done at 1 week and 1, 3, and 6 months. Standard immunosuppression consisted of induction antilymphocyte globulin and high-dose methylprednisolone induction for 1 week and standard maintenance triple therapy. Acute rejection treatment was with pulse methylprednisolone. Bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome was treated with total lymphoid irradiation and a change to tacrolimus and mycophenolate. Blinded grading using International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation classification was done retrospectively.
Results: Survival at 1 month and 1, 2, and 3 years for the 96-patient cohort with 1-year follow-up was 93%, 74%, 62%, and 56%. Survival was not significantly different for subsets with rejection on any combination of the first 3 biopsies (1/3, 2/3, 3/3) or absence of rejection on the first 3 biopsies. Ninety-one positive biopsy results were graded. Eighteen of 71 patients had one or more moderate or severe rejection episodes without survival difference relative to the others. There was no statistically significant association between acute rejection on the first 3 surveillance biopsy results and bronchiolitis obliterans.
Conclusions: Intensive induction and maintenance immunotherapy with surveillance transbronchial biopsies and aggressive treatment of acute rejection is associated with a survival similar to that of patients without early acute rejection. This regimen appears to uncouple the association between early acute rejection and bronchiolitis obliterans. Further study may elucidate this mechanism.


    Introduction
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 Appendix: Discussion
 References
 
Lung transplantation has evolved over the past 15 years to become recognized treatment for various end-stage respiratory conditions including cystic fibrosis, pulmonary hypertension, pulmonary fibrosis, and emphysema.Go 1 The perioperative issues including lung preservation, airway healing, acute bacterial and viral infections, and immunosuppression have been resolved to the extent that early and 1-year mortality rates are quite reasonable (95% and 76%, respectively).Go 2 However, long-term survival after lung transplantation remains unsatisfactory with a 5-year survival of 40% reported in the most recent United Network for Organ Sharing annual report.Go 2 The primary reason for attrition is bronchiolitis obliterans, the pathologic hallmark of chronic lung rejection. Once this diffuse fibrotic process has developed, patients become quite dyspneic, and no therapy to date has succeeded in reversing the clinicopathologic condition. Most patients will die of either respiratory insufficiency or superimposed infection. Predictors of bronchiolitis obliterans, and therefore ultimately of patient death, have been identified by several investigators. Bando and colleaguesGo 3 in Pittsburgh noted that airway ischemia, cytomegalovirus disease, and either 1 or more episodes of moderate to severe acute rejection (grade 3/4) or 3 or more episodes of grade 2 (or greater) acute rejection were significant risk factors for the development of bronchiolitis obliterans by univariate analysis. In their multivariate analysis, only the finding of 3 or more episodes of grade 2 (or greater) acute rejection was associated with the development of bronchiolitis obliterans.

The role of transbronchial biopsies in providing histologic confirmation of acute lung rejection is well established.Go Go 4-6 The utility of routine surveillance transbronchial biopsies particularly in the late postoperative period has been debated.Go Go 6-9 The morbidity of the procedure is relatively low, but whether it provides clinically relevant information is unclear. Certainly the information obtained must be interpreted carefully. Immediately after the transplant, pathologic changes related to the implantation, including the ischemia-reperfusion process, are typically seen. If there are signs of infection, it may be difficult to diagnose rejection. Furthermore, in this era of cost awareness, the expense of the biopsies must be considered.

Our study was designed to look at the potential predictive value for survival of the first 3 surveillance transbronchial biopsies after lung transplantation. This was a retrospective analysis of data collected in our thoracic surgery database.


    Methods
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 Appendix: Discussion
 References
 
We performed 96 consecutive single or double (sequential bilateral) lung transplants between 1990 and 1997. The transplants were done by standard techniques including telescoping and wrapping of the airway anastomosis.Go 1 Cardiopulmonary bypass was used when necessary to support the patient during implantation.

The routine immunosuppressive regimen at our institution includes induction with either Minnesota antilymphocyte globulin or antithymocyte gamma globulin (ATGAM, Pharmacia Upjohn, Kalamazoo, Mich) for 1 week and high-dose methylprednisolone (1 gm intravenously intraoperatively before opening the circulation to the transplanted lung, then 125 mg intravenously 3 times a day for 1 week). The antithymocyte gamma globulin is administered at a dosage of 15 mg/kg and decreased to 10 mg/kg if the total lymphocyte count falls below 100/mm3 or the platelet count falls below 50,000/mm3. Triple-drug maintenance therapy consists of prednisone 60 mg/day beginning at 1 week and tapering to 20 mg/day over 12 weeks, azathioprine 50 mg twice a day adjusted for leukopenia (white blood cell count <4000/mm3) beginning on postoperative day 7, and cyclosporine A (INN: ciclosporin) begun the night of the operation by intravenous infusion and converted to the oral route with target levels of 300 to 350 ng/mL. Rejection episodes at our institution are treated with pulse methylprednisolone (1 gm intravenously daily for 3 days). Over the past 2 years, maintenance therapy has been changed to mycophenolic acid and tacrolimus after 2 moderately severe or severe episodes. In addition, those patients in whom bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome or bronchiolitis obliterans developed, as noted inTables I andII, were treated with total lymphoid irradiation (0.4 Gy twice a day 2 times per week for 5 weeks; total dose 8 Gy using inverted Y and pelvic ports).


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Table I. Patients (n = 32) with evidence of rejection on 1-month biopsy
 

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Table II. Patients (n = 39) without evidence of rejection on 1-month biopsy including 17 with no evidence on first 3 biopsies
 
Transbronchial biopsies during the first year after the transplant were done on a standard schedule as well as when there was a decline in pulmonary function in the absence of diagnosed infection. We took 5 to 6 biopsy samples per procedure (>=100 alveoli)Go 10 and focused our attention on the lower and middle lobes on the right and the lingula and lower lobe on the left. For the first 24 patients, biopsies were done at 1 week, 1 month, 3 months, 6 months, and 12 months from the time of transplantation. After these first patients, the surveillance transbronchial biopsies were done at 1 month, 3 months, 6 months, and 12 months. The 1-week biopsy was omitted because in most cases the changes observed were related to the implantation.

Cytomegalovirus prophylaxis was used for any patient in whom a donor-recipient mismatch existed or if both the donor and recipient had positive cytomegalovirus status (n = 44, seeTables IGo andIIGo). In those cases, ganciclovir was given intravenously for 1 year: an induction dose (5 mg/kg twice a day) for the first month followed by maintenance therapy (5 mg/kg daily) for the last 11 months.

Our prospective thoracic database was reviewed in addition to patient charts and pathology and microbiology records to capture morbidity and mortality data and important clinical events such as infection, decline in pulmonary function, and the results of transbronchial biopsies. In a blinded fashion, one of us (L.K.) reviewed the transbronchial biopsy specimens for verification: the data are reported according to the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation (ISHLT) revised grading schema.Go 10

Bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome was defined according to the ISHLT definition.Go 11 The presence of bronchiolitis obliterans was determined by transbronchial biopsy.

There were 96 consecutive patients who had lung transplantation and had a potential minimum follow-up of 1 year. This interval was chosen to focus on the association between early events and long-term outcome: bronchiolitis obliterans and survival. These 96 patients make up the cohort for this report. Seventy-one patients survived 1 year and make up the subset for the bronchiolitis obliterans analysis.

Survival was tabulated by a Kaplan-Meier life table,Go 12 and statistical analysis was done by log-rank test. The JMP program (SAS Institute, Inc, Cary, NC) was used for the computations and graphic display.


    Results
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 Appendix: Discussion
 References
 
The descriptive profiles, indications, and perioperative results for the 96 consecutive patients who received transplants during the study period, which included an appropriate time interval to allow for at least 1 year of follow-up, are displayed inTable III.


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Table III. Transplant cohort (N = 96): perioperative profile
 
Seventy-one (74%) of the 96 patients survived 1 year and therefore make up the subset for our analysis. The minimum 1-year survival helps to focus the analysis on those patients most likely to have the development of chronic rejection. Analysis of results in the patients who did not survive 1 year demonstrates there was no difference in the incidence of acute rejection in this group (n = 25) versus that in those 71 patients who survived 1 year (P = .40).

Median follow-up was 40 months (range 12-100 months). Sixty-nine patients had 3 early biopsies (<=6 months), and 2 patients only had 1. In 32 patients acute rejection was demonstrated on the 1-month transbronchial biopsy. The results of the first 3 transbronchial biopsies in this group along with the survival and absence or presence of bronchiolitis obliterans and cytomegalovirus disease are shown inTable IGo. The actuarial survival for those patients with rejection demonstrated on the 1-month biopsy versus those without (n = 39) is graphed inFig 1. There was no statistical difference in survival by log-rank test (P = .15).



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Fig. 1. Kaplan-Meier survival curves (95% CI) for 32 patients in whom the 1-month transbronchial biopsy result showed rejection (solid lines) versus 39 patients in whom it did not (dashed lines).

 
Table IIGo displays the characteristics, including the prevalence of bronchiolitis obliterans, cytomegalovirus disease status, and patient survival, for the 39 patients who did not show rejection on the 1-month biopsy and includes the 17 patients who did not show any evidence of rejection on the first 3 consecutive biopsies.Fig 2 displays a survival graph for those who had no rejection on the 3-month biopsy (n = 35) versus those who did have rejection on the 3-month biopsy (n = 34). Again, there was no statistical difference in survival by log-rank test (P = .74).Fig 3 shows the survival of those patients who showed acute rejection on the 6-month biopsy (n = 34) versus those who did not (n = 33). Again, no statistically significant difference was measured by log-rank test (P = .10).



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Fig. 2. Kaplan-Meier survival curves (95% CI) for 34 patients in whom the 3-month transbronchial biopsy result showed rejection (solid lines) versus 35 patients in whom it did not (dashed lines).

 


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Fig. 3. Kaplan-Meier survival curves (95% CI) for 34 patients in whom the 6-month transbronchial biopsy result showed rejection (solid lines) versus 33 patients in whom it did not (dashed lines).

 
Two hundred nine transbronchial biopsy samples were examined by our pathologists. More than 95% of these early biopsies were done for surveillance or to follow up pulse therapy. All biopsy samples were included in the analysis. Of the 209, 91 were interpreted as positive for acute rejection. This represented acute rejection occurring in 52 (73%) of 71 patients during the first 6 months after lung transplantation.Table IV displays the data on these patients with use of the ISHLT revised grading system. Two of 71 patients had 2 or more moderate (A3 or B3) or severe (A4 or B4) episodes of acute rejection on the first 3 biopsies. Two of 71 patients had severe acute (A4 or B4) rejection on at least 1 of the first 3 biopsies. Moreover, 5 (7%) of 71 patients had 2 or more episodes of mild (A2) rejection.


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Table IV. ISHLT grade for 53 patients with acute rejection in first 6 months
 
Analysis looking at 1 or more episodes of A3 rejection or multiple A2 rejections demonstrated that they did not predict the development of bronchiolitis obliterans. The explanation for this other than a ß statistical error may be again that we saw a relatively low incidence of A3 rejection events or of 2 or more A2 rejection events. We identified only 7% of our patients in whom multiple A2 rejections developed and 13% of our patients who had a single A3 episode. No patients had more than 1 A3 episode.

Thirty-four patients (34/71, 48%) showed development of either pathologically confirmed bronchiolitis obliterans or clinically defined bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome at a median follow-up of 40 months. Their survival at 5 years was 36% (±9%) versus the 72% (±10%) survival for those patients in whom bronchiolitis obliterans or bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome did not develop (n = 37). This difference in survival was highly significant by log-rank test (P = .008). Log-rank analysis demonstrated no significant association between early acute rejection and the incidence of bronchiolitis obliterans for those patients who showed rejection on the 1-month biopsy(Fig 4; n = 32, P = .31), on the 3-month biopsy (n = 34, P = .18), or on the 6-month biopsy (n = 34, P = .65). Also, there was not a significant association between grade of rejection (patients with at least 1 episode of moderate or severe rejection, n = 18) and bronchiolitis obliterans/bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome (P = .68).



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Fig. 4. Kaplan-Meier survival curves (95% CI) for the outcome bronchiolitis obliterans (OB) for 32 patients in whom the 1-month transbronchial biopsy result showed rejection (solid lines) versus 39 patients in whom it did not (dashed lines).

 
In 5 of the 71 patients who survived 1 year, cytomegalovirus disease developed(Tables IGo andIIGo). Twenty-one patients were treated with total lymphoid irradiation for bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome or bronchiolitis obliterans as noted inTables IGo andIIGo.

The morbidity related to transbronchial biopsies included 5 cases of pneumothorax necessitating chest tubes on 2 occasions. Bleeding that necessitated observation occurred in fewer than 5% of the 209 biopsies and in one case the bleeding was severe.


    Discussion
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 Appendix: Discussion
 References
 
Bronchiolitis obliterans remains the major limitation to the long-term success of lung transplantation.Go Go 13,14 Experimental work would suggest it is an immune-mediated phenomenon.Go Go 15,16 Other investigators have drawn a link between acute rejection and bronchiolitis obliterans and therefore survival.Go Go Go Go 3,14,17,18

In this study we did not find an association between acute rejection and bronchiolitis obliterans. Another published study from Washington University in St Louis also did not observe a statistically significant connection between early acute rejection and bronchiolitis obliterans.Go 19 In that study 94 (84%) of 112 patients survived at least 3 months and formed the basis for their analysis. They found that in 54 of the patients bronchiolitis obliterans did not develop and in 40 patients bronchiolitis obliterans did develop but that there was no statistically significant difference between the number of acute rejection episodes occurring within 90 days of the transplantation for those 2 groups (P = .43).

The possible explanations as to why the group from Washington University and our group did not find a link may lie in part in the immunosuppressive regimen used early after lung transplantation. Bando and colleaguesGo 3 observed high-grade rejection or multiple moderate grade rejections in close to 50% of their patients. Wallwork’s group from the United Kingdom did not specify the grade of the biopsy results, but observed that one third of their group showed more than 3 episodes of acute rejection.Go 14 In our study, we observed high-grade rejection or multiple moderate grade rejection events in less than 3% of our study population. The regimen used by both of the above-mentioned groups was less aggressive than the regimen detailed in the present study. Bando’s group only used induction therapy with antilymphocyte globulin for half the study and significantly limited the use of steroids. Prior reports from Wallwork and his colleagues described only a 3-day regimen of antilymphocyte globulin and a very limited regimen of steroids.Go Go Go 4,5,7

The present study did not demonstrate decreased survival in those patients who were found to have acute rejection on surveillance transbronchial biopsy. An association between acute rejection and bronchiolitis obliterans/bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome was not observed. The severity of the acute rejection episodes and the number of persistent cases of acute rejection were found to be quite low with this careful surveillance and treatment strategy. The immunosuppressive regimen detailed in this report is intensive both in terms of the induction scheme and the dosage and duration of steroid administration.

The survival seen in our overall group is similar to that reported by the United Network for Organ Sharing in its most recent publication.Go 2 This fact coupled with our results suggests several possible explanations. Surveillance transbronchial biopsies, in the patient free of symptoms, do not predict for bronchiolitis obliterans and survival particularly when the acute rejection episode is only mild (grades 1-2). Early transbronchial biopsies in general do not correlate with the chronic process of bronchiolitis obliterans, the cause of the majority of late deaths. Aggressive early immunosuppression eliminates or uncouples the discriminating ability (variability in severity and persistence) of early transbronchial biopsy to predict later outcome (bronchiolitis obliterans/bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome or survival). Once the effects of the intensive early immunosuppression have waned, as the time from the antilymphocyte globulin treatment becomes greater and the steroids are weaned, the link between the histologic findings on transbronchial biopsy and the later chronic fibrotic process may become more apparent. Whether continued high-dose standard immunosuppression would prevent the emergence of later chronic rejection, as suggested by some animal models,Go 20 is not a practical question for human beings given the complications of prolonged high-dose immunosuppression, such as infection, and the catabolic effects of high-dose steroid treatment.



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Fig. 5. Kaplan-Meier survival curves (95% CI) for the outcome bronchiolitis obliterans (OB) for 34 patients in whom the 3-month transbronchial biopsy result showed rejection (solid lines) versus 35 patients in whom it did not (dashed lines).

 


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Fig. 6. Kaplan-Meier survival curves (95% CI) for the outcome bronchiolitis obliterans (OB) for 34 patients in whom the 6-month transbronchial biopsy result showed rejection (solid lines) versus 33 patients in whom it did not (dashed lines).

 
The findings of minimal, severe, early, or persistent early rejection documented on surveillance transbronchial biopsies in this study do raise the notion that if a better immunosuppression regimen could be identified then perhaps one could continue to suppress the immunologic differences that are manifested as rejection. This regimen would need to be intense and certainly more specific. Indeed, specific tolerance would be the ideal.

In the meantime, better discriminators of long-term outcome must be identified. Exhaled nitric oxide levels have been shown to correlate with acute rejection in animal models and human beings after lung transplantation.Go 21 Interestingly, though, in the human data, exhaled nitric oxide levels did not correlate with bronchiolitis obliterans.Go 22 Again, there is some hint that the acute and chronic rejection may be related but have different mechanisms. Alternatively E-selectin, an adhesion molecule induced by activated lymphocytes and cytokines, has been reported to be expressed in both acute rejection and bronchiolitis obliterans.Go 23

There are obvious limitations to the current method of detecting acute rejection. Although surveillance transbronchial biopsies are quite safe, they may not have the discriminating ability that is necessary to have an impact on the process of bronchiolitis obliterans and, therefore, long-term survival. It may also be that our current immunosuppressive combinations are reasonably good at suppressing the phenomenon of early acute rejection, but that they do not prevent bronchiolitis obliterans, which, although related, may have different mechanisms or only require low-level immunologic activation.

In a manner analogous to the approach to lung cancer of several decades ago, it would seem that we need to continue carefully and completely to collect data that pertain to an apparently insurmountable process if we are going to make strides. It is mandatory that we continue to collect information that will provide insight into the phenomenon of acute and chronic rejection. To make lung transplantation a more broadly successful and applicable technology, we must answer the problem of bronchiolitis obliterans. Aggressive and more sensitive detection methods linked with better immunosuppression are needed.


    Appendix: Discussion
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 Appendix: Discussion
 References
 
Dr Thomas M. Egan (Chapel Hill, NC). Bronchiolitis obliterans has become the scourge of patients with lung transplants after they have been delivered from a wretched existence of suffocation, and it cuts short lives that transplantation intends to extend. It is the leading cause of death after the first year following transplantation, and some studies suggest that it is the inevitable outcome of transplantation, with actuarial freedom from bronchiolitis obliterans reported near 0% 10 years after lung transplantation.

Several factors have been implicated as etiologic agents or as risk factors for the development of bronchiolitis obliterans, including the number of acute rejection episodes and a variety of infections, including infection with cytomegalovirus. If acute vascular rejection contributes to long-term graft dysfunction, then it is intuitive that attempts to detect this and treat it might have a favorable impact on outcome, both from the point of view of development of bronchiolitis obliterans and ultimately of survival.

To assess the importance of biopsies in the treatment of patients with lung transplants, the authors of this study at the Brigham and Women’s Hospital retrospectively analyzed the results of biopsies in 71 consecutive lung transplant recipients in whom 1-year follow-up was available. No matter whether 1, 2, or 3 biopsy results were positive for acute rejection, this had no apparent impact on survival or, by {chi}2 analysis, on the presence of bronchiolitis obliterans at the time of this analysis.

The authors surmise that their more aggressive early immunosuppression may have in some way uncoupled acute rejection from the development of bronchiolitis obliterans, but there may be other explanations. My first question for the authors is, did you actually show convincingly that biopsy outcome was not related to the development of bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome? Only 11 patients had 3 positive biopsy results, and while the {chi}2 test did not reach significance, do you believe that a long enough time elapsed for this observation to hold?

You state in your manuscript that total lymphoid irradiation was used in 21 patients with "persistent acute rejection." This is a large proportion of your patients and represents an unusually large experience with this treatment modality. Presumably for these patients to have persistent rejection, many of them would have been in the positive biopsy cohort that you studied. Was there an association between positive biopsy results and the subsequent treatment with total lymphoid irradiation? If so, can you speculate as to whether total lymphoid irradiation might have interfered with the development of bronchiolitis obliterans? If you stand by your observation that biopsy outcome has no impact on survival, then should we persist in doing biopsies?

One other unusual feature of your practice is the use of ganciclovir for an entire year. You observed the development of cytomegalovirus after cessation of treatment in 5 patients. Are you not convinced yet that in a mismatch situation cytomegalovirus disease is inevitable and the prolonged use of prophylaxis may aid the emergence of ganciclovir-resistant strains?

When we reported our results in patients with cystic fibrosis at the Southern Thoracic Surgical Association meeting a year and a half ago, we too were unable to demonstrate a relationship between the number of acute rejection episodes and outcome at 2 years or development of bronchiolitis. There are broader questions that one can conjure up from your study and others that should be answered in the future.

Is bronchiolitis obliterans really the pathologic hallmark of chronic rejection as you stated in the introduction of your manuscript or is it the inevitable sequela of lung transplantation? Phil Halloran, an immunologist at the University of Alberta in Edmonton, put forward an interesting hypothesis at the ISHLT last year. He suggested that chronic allograft dysfunction in any transplanted organ could be a form of accelerated senescence, which might be instigated by a variety of stressors to the organ.

Whatever the cause of bronchiolitis obliterans, our ability to prevent it or reduce the incidence will have a substantial impact on the lives of our transplant recipients.

Dr Swanson. You asked whether we think there was enough time between the 3 persistent acute rejection biopsies to determine whether bronchiolitis obliterans was going to develop: the median follow-up period was 40 months, and I think that time should be adequate.

As to the total lymphoid irradiation question, the majority of patients who received this treatment were treated once it was determined that they had bronchiolitis obliterans, and the impetus for the treatment was not persistent acute rejection. This should be clarified, because most of these patients already had bronchiolitis obliterans when they were treated with total lymphoid irradiation. Dr Ingenito presented that data at the American Thoracic Society, I believe 2 years ago, and the treatment did appear to halt the progression and stabilize the condition in more than half that group.

I think your question about whether we should continue to do biopsies is right on. I think that we could not show a difference, and one way to interpret this result would be that those patients we treated were elevated to do as well as the others. Even if that is not the case, I think we still need to do biopsies because they have low morbidity and do provide us with evidence and data from which we can make further strides. Unless we continue to push, we are not going to make progress.

Most of the reports show a much higher incidence of cytomegalovirus infection than the 6% we saw in our series. I think it is not clear how long prophylactic ganciclovir should be used, but I do think we have a low prevalence of cytomegalovirus disease in our cohort.

Dr David W. Wormuth (Rochester, NY). By choosing 1-year survival, did you preselect the patients who were already going to survive an early rejection? Also, did your transbronchial biopsy results predict mortality between 6 months and 1 year?

Dr Swanson. We were mainly trying to look at survival and bronchiolitis obliterans, and that is why we used a group that had 1-year survival. Most of the data now show that survival to a year is pretty good. The problem is that from 1 year to 5 years survival always drops off. To not complicate the interpretation by using patients who died of other causes, we wanted to limit the study to the 1-year survivors.

Dr David M. Follette (Sacramento, Calif). I would like to amplify a bit, because, like Dr Egan, the way I interpret the results is that perhaps we do not need to do surveillance biopsies in patients who do not have clinical indications. Should we only do biopsies when there is clinical suspicion of rejection? Do you believe that the routine biopsy in a patient who is otherwise in clinically stable condition is of little or no benefit and perhaps not necessary? I would like to have your thoughts on whether you would interpret your study in the same way.

Dr Swanson. I think that is a good point. I think until we actually suppress bronchiolitis obliterans, it may be that we cannot show the difference that you would like to see, but we did document a much less aggressive form of acute rejection. In the literature, most series show at least a third of the patients have 3 or more episodes of acute rejection that is moderate or severe in each cohort and more than half show severe acute rejection. Thus what we found was a much less significant or much less severe form of acute rejection, and that may well be both from our augmented immunosuppression initially and the treatment of these mild episodes. Until you can completely suppress the situation over the course of several years, you may not see a difference, but I think ultimately we may be able to do that. More important, however, unless we continue to collect information and analyze it in different ways, as I mentioned earlier, I do not think we will make any progress. Thus I do think we still need to pursue this kind of information.


    Acknowledgments
 
We acknowledge and greatly thank Elizabeth N. Allred for statistical revisions. We extend our deep appreciation to Judi Hansjon and Mary Visciano for their editorial assistance and expert advice.


    Footnotes
 
Read at the Seventy-ninth Annual Meeting of The American Association for Thoracic Surgery, New Orleans, La, April 18-21, 1999. Back


    References
 Top
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Methods
 Results
 Discussion
 Appendix: Discussion
 References
 

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Received for publication April 22, 1999. Revisions requested July 12, 1999; revisions received Sept 2, 1999. Accepted for publication Sept 28, 1999.


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