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J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2001;121:1083-1089
© 2001 The American Association for Thoracic Surgery
Surgery for Acquired Cardiovascular Disease |
From the Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Imperial College School of Medicine, University of London, Hammersmith Hospital, London, United Kingdom.
Received for publication May 26, 2000. Revisions requested Aug 28, 2000;.revisions received Oct 20, 2000. Accepted for publication Nov 16, 2000. Address for reprints: Arjuna Weerasinghe, Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, University of London, Hammersmith Hospital, London W12 OHS, United Kingdom (E-mail: aweerasinghe{at}ic.ac.uk).
| Abstract |
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150 µmol · L1), this effect is more pronounced. No significant difference in outcome was observed between the use of cardioplegia or crossclamp fibrillation for myocardial protection. | Introduction |
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The first objective of the study was to identify the effect on morbidity and mortality of mild-to-moderate elevation of the preoperative serum creatinine level in nondialysis-dependent patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting. The second objective was to identify the factors that contribute to any observed deterioration of renal function after coronary artery bypass grafting.
| Methods |
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Statistical analysis
Analysis of the data was performed with Stata-6 software (Stata Corporation, College Station, Tex). Univariate analysis was initially performed to ascertain associations between explanatory variables and outcome,
2 tests were used for categoric variables, and 2-sample t tests were used for the continuous variables, core temperature, and cardiopulmonary bypass time. Stepwise logistic multivariable regression analysis was used with both forward and backward variable selection. Variables significant at the 5% level were retained in the final multivariable models. In-hospital mortality is used for the mortality analysis. Variables considered for inclusion in the multivariable models were as follows: sex, age, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, New York Heart Association (NYHA) grade of angina, previous myocardial infarction, smoking, ejection fraction, cardiogenic shock, number of diseased coronary arteries, left main stem coronary stenosis of greater than 50%, preoperative urea, surgical priority, type of myocardial protection, core temperature during the operation, and cardiopulmonary bypass time.Table I
shows the distribution of these variables in the preoperative creatinine groups.
| Results |
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Of the 1427 patients in the study, 28 (2.0%) required postoperative mechanical renal support. Because only 28 patients required postoperative mechanical renal support, developing a model with the 3 preoperative creatinine groups was likely to result in statistical overfitting, which is associated with type 1 errors (ie, where a variable is incorrectly identified as significant). This was addressed by combining the 2 higher creatinine categories and reanalyzing as a creatinine level of less than 130 µmol · L1 or 130 µmol · L1 or greater. Multivariable analysis with all variables inTable I
showed a preoperative creatinine level of 130 µmol · L1 or greater (P < .001), nonelective operation (P = .01), and female sex (P = .02) to increase the likelihood of needing mechanical renal support(Table II).
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| Discussion |
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Despite suspicions that even creatinine levels only mildly elevated above the laboratory normal range are associated with increased morbidity and possibly mortality, confirmation from a large multivariable model including preoperative and intraoperative factors has until now been unavailable. In the design of this study we included, in the multivariable analysis, other preoperative factors that are known to be associated with renal dysfunction and poor outcome. Despite including these risk factors in the multivariable analysis, even a mild increase in the preoperative serum creatinine level over the normal range significantly increased the risk of needing mechanical renal support postoperatively, as well as prolonging the special care and total postoperative hospital stay.
One of the most important observations from the study was the pronounced effect a mild-to-moderate elevation in the preoperative serum creatinine level had on the mortality from coronary artery bypass grafting. A recent study on the basis of the Veterans Affairs database demonstrated that patients with a preoperative serum creatinine level of 1.5 mg/dL to 3 mg/dL (120-240 µmol · L1) had an increased 30-day mortality after coronary artery bypass grafting.
7 The current study further highlights the importance of the preoperative creatinine level on mortality by demonstrating that the effect is significant even at milder (130-149 µmol · L1) elevation of the preoperative serum creatinine level. This is the first study in which this pronounced effect has been seen in a multivariable model incorporating both preoperative and intraoperative risk factors. The large number of patients studied is likely to have helped reveal this significant association. These results are important because they identify the effect the preoperative serum creatinine level has on morbidity and mortality independent of the presence of other risk factors, such as sex, age, left ventricular function, and cardiopulmonary bypass time.
Analysis of the factors contributing to an increase in creatinine level in association with coronary artery bypass grafting showed that patients with higher preoperative serum creatinine levels were more likely to show an increase in their creatinine levels of 20% or greater above the preoperative levels. Patients with higher preoperative serum creatinine levels are likely to have a higher proportion of functionally borderline glomeruli, which potentially are more susceptible to deterioration of their function when exposed to the insults of an operation. It was also seen that hypertensive patients were more likely to have an increase in serum creatinine levels as a result of an operation. Hypertension contributes to progressive renal failure by inducing myointimal hyperplasia of arcuate and afferent arterioles, causing glomerular ischemia
8 (hypertensive glomerularsclerosis), which is likely to increase the susceptibility of the kidneys to cardiopulmonary bypass. The greater increase in serum creatinine levels in patients with angina of NYHA class III or greater is likely to be due to a greater likelihood of concomitant renal vascular disease. The increase in creatinine level was also seen to be greater with increasing cardiopulmonary bypass times. Hemolysis and release of free hemoglobin
9 may increase with prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass times, increasing the risk of hemoglobinuria and acute renal dysfunction. The study was not designed to analyze postoperative events, and thus a potential weakness is that it does not investigate their possible contribution to the increase in serum creatinine levels.
On performing multivariable analysis to include all the risk factors outlined inTable I
, it was seen that the type of myocardial protection used did not influence mortality significantly. Similarly, there was no difference on multivariable analysis between crossclamp fibrillation or cardioplegia on the need for mechanical renal support or on the special care or total postoperative stay. The lowest core body temperature achieved during the operation also had no independent effect on morbidity or mortality.
This study confirms clinical observations that the morbidity and mortality from coronary artery bypass grafting increase with even mild-to-moderate elevation of the preoperative serum creatinine level. The factors that contribute significantly to renal dysfunction as a result of coronary operation are also outlined. We hope the insights gained from this study will help in a more rigorous design and assessment of strategies aimed at reducing the increased morbidity and mortality from coronary artery bypass grafting seen in patients with nondialysis-dependent renal dysfunction.
| Acknowledgments |
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| References |
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