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J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2003;125:1114-1120
© 2003 The American Association for Thoracic Surgery
General Thoracic Surgery |
From the Veterans Affairs Medical Center/University of Utah Medical School, Salt Lake City, Utaha; the Veterans Affairs Medical Center/Duke University Medical School, Durham NCb; the Institute for Health Policy, Massachusetts General Hospital/Partners Healthcare System; Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston Massc; the Veterans Affairs Medical Center/Harvard Medical School, Brockton/West Roxbury, Massd; and the Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center, Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Hines, Ill.e
Read at the Twenty-eighth Annual Meeting of The Western Thoracic Surgical Association, Big Sky, Mont, June 19-22, 2002.
Received for publication July 10, 2002. Revisions requested Aug 26, 2002; revisions received Sept 10, 2002. Accepted for publication Sept 17, 2002. Address for reprints: David Bull, MD, Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, University of Utah Health Sciences Center, 30 North 1900 East, Salt Lake City, UT 84132-2301 (E-mail: David.Bull{at}hsc.utah.edu).
| Abstract |
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| Introduction |
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| Patients and methods |
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A trained nurse reviewed each patient's chart and recorded 122 individual variables for each operation. Reviewers were continually tested and monitored on a set of standard criteria and definitions for each variable. The recorded variables were selected by a panel of surgical experts, as well as from literature reviews. Laboratory values and demographics were automatically downloaded to the statistical center from computers at each participating VA medical center. Audits were frequently performed to ensure accurate and reliable data collection. Periodic internal and random external audits for data quality were performed at every center.
A multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine which preoperative and intraoperative patient-specific factors were good predictors of mortality and morbidity. Important predictive factors were first analyzed by means of bivariate analyses. Namely, the association of demographic and laboratory variables with 30-day morbidity and mortality was investigated. The unpaired t test was used for continuous variables, and the
2 test was used for categoric variables. A prevalence of greater than 0.5% and significance by means of bivariate analysis defined as a P value of less than .20 were used for selection of potential independent variables for the multivariable logistic regression analysis. Entry and exit criteria set at a level of 0.10 and 0.05, respectively, were used for the stepwise logistic regression, with mortality or morbidity as the dependent variable. In the morbidity analyses the dependent variable was the presence or absence of at least one serious complication.
The risk-stratification model was created for the entire data set (945 patients) by using the methods explained by Le Gall and colleagues.
5 Briefly, our scoring system for each patient's mortality and morbidity was based on the multivariate logistic regression models that contained only preoperative factors. Each ß coefficient taken from the logistic model was multiplied by 10 and rounded off to the nearest integer (except age coefficient). In this way we weighted the significance of risk factors. For each patient, we assigned a mortality and morbidity score equal to the sum of all risk factor points.
| Results |
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The incidence of pre-existing pulmonary disease or risk factors, including smoking, dyspnea, severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD; defined as dyspnea with minimal exertion or dyspnea at rest), and current pneumonia, did not differ between the 2 groups. Heavy alcohol use, dependent functional status, or immunosuppressed states, such as diabetes mellitus, disseminated cancer, steroid use, and chemotherapy within 30 days before surgical intervention, did not differ between the TTE and THE groups (Table 2). Likewise, serum creatinine levels, blood urea nitrogen levels, alkaline phosphatase values, platelet counts, and prothrombin times did not vary between the TTE and THE groups (Table 3). However, patients undergoing TTE had lower mean albumin values (P = .01), had lower mean hematocrit values (P < .001), underwent more emergency operations (P = .008), and had more American Society of Anesthesiologists classes of 3 or greater (P = .009).
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We also evaluated whether the number of esophagectomies performed per center affected morbidity and mortality rates for both groups. We defined lower-volume centers as performing 10 or fewer esophagectomies over the time course of the study and higher-volume centers as performing greater than 10 esophagectomies over the time course of the study. TTE mortality in lower-volume centers was 10.0% (36/369), and TTE mortality in higher-volume centers was 10.4% (20/193, P = .92). Serious morbidity after TTE was seen in 42.5% (157/369) of patients in lower-volume centers and 31.7% (61/193) of patients in higher-volume centers (P = .45). Mortality rates after THE were 8.9% (11/128) in higher-volume centers and 9.5% (24/255) in lower-volume centers (P = .86). Serious morbidity after THE was seen in 52.9% (135/255) in higher-volume centers and 45.0% (58/128) in lower-volume centers (P = .27).
A risk-stratification model was applied to the entire cohort (Tables 4 and 5). Parameters for mortality included albumin values of 3.5 g/dL or less, age, dyspnea, and functional status. Patients with scores of 0 to 4 points had a mortality of 2.5%, patients with scores of 1 to 5 points had 10.7% mortality, and patients with scores of greater than 12 points had 17% mortality. Significant risk factors for morbidity included albumin values of 3.5 g/dL or less, creatinine levels of greater than 1.2 mg/dL, alkaline phosphatase values of greater than 125 U/L, prothrombin times of greater than 12 seconds, diminished functional status, and a history of severe COPD (Table 5
). Patients without risk factors had a morbidity of 29.6%. Patients with scores of 1 to 6 points had a 32.7% incidence of morbidity, patients with scores of 7 to 12 points had 51.0% morbidity, and patients with scores of greater than 12 points had 59.4% morbidity.
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| Discussion |
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On the basis of our risk-stratification model, we have identified the most important risk factors for morbidity and mortality. These include the following: COPD, dyspnea, diminished functional health, advanced age, albumin value of 3.5 g/dL or less, alkaline phosphatase value of greater than 125 U/L, creatinine level of greater than 1.2 mg/dL, and prothrombin time of greater than 12 seconds. On the basis of our risk-stratification system, surgeons can predict outcomes on the basis of preoperative risk factors.
This study constitutes the largest prospective cohort comparing outcomes after TTE and THE. Two prospective randomized studies with much smaller numbers corroborate our findings. Goldminc and associates
6 prospectively studied 35 patients undergoing TTE and 32 patients undergoing THE and found no difference in outcomes. Chu and colleagues
7 prospectively randomized 39 patients to TTE or THE and also found no difference in outcomes.
All of the patients were operated on in the last decade. Many improvements in perioperative care occurred in the 1990s. Preoperative imaging studies, such as endoscopic ultrasonography, have improved patient selection. Epidural catheters have dramatically improved postthoracotomy care by allowing patients to participate more vigorously in pulmonary toilet.
8 Comparative studies that took place before routine use of epidural catheters frequently show higher rates of pulmonary complications among patients undergoing TTE.
9,10 Newer stapling devices have improved the quality of anastomoses. Antibiotic therapy and ventilator management also improved during the last 10 years.
Other smaller retrospective reviews have reported risk factors for morbidity and mortality after esophagectomy that we identified as well. Diminished functional status and advanced age have been found to be significant risk factors by other groups.
11 Karl and coworkers
12 published a report finding diabetes to be a risk factor for complications after esophagectomy. Diabetes mellitus did not quite reach statistical significance in our study (P = .056). By using retrospective data, 2 recent and large meta-analyses were able to identify risk factors for complications after esophagectomy. These meta-analyses found no difference in overall morbidity or mortality when comparing TTE and THE.
13,14
Older reports had noted differences between the 2 procedures. Pac and colleagues
15 retrospectively reviewed 118 patients undergoing TTE and 120 patients undergoing THE from 1983 to 1991 and determined that THEs were safer. This study is limited by the fact that it is a retrospective review and that TTEs were the predominant operations in the early years of the study. The transhiatal approach was more common later in the study.
Some groups report that the THE is a superior operation for patients with COPD, but our study demonstrated no difference in outcomes in this subset of patients.
16 Some authors also suggest that groups of patients undergoing THE have fewer complications; however, we found no difference in the rate of complications.
17 It has also been suggested that THE is better tolerated by debilitated patients.
18 We found no difference in outcomes between the TTE and THE groups on the basis of ASA classification or functional health status.
In conclusion, our present study demonstrates no significant differences in postoperative mortality or morbidity between TTE and THE on the basis of a 10-year, prospective, multi-institutional nationwide study. Our work has identified modifiable risk factors that might reduce morbidity and mortality, as well as assisting in the selection of the procedure best suited for a particular patient.
| Appendix: Discussion |
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However, I would submit that bigger does not necessarily mean better. There are 109 participating centers in this study, and approximately 1000 cases were performed over a period of 10 years. That means that on average each center performed approximately 1 procedure per year. One should be skeptical about the value of the morbidity and mortality data produced by an institution or an individual performing a particular procedure once per year. Appropriately, the authors have attempted to discriminate between what they term high-volume and low-volume centers; however, the point of discrimination between low- and high-volume centers is the performance of greater than 10 procedures during the course of the study. I would argue that the difference between performing a procedure once and twice per year is essentially no difference at all. The influence of the data generated by these low-volume centers cannot be discounted because two thirds of the cases were performed in so-called low-volume centers. A more cynical interpretation of this study might be that if you perform a procedure infrequently, then the results will most likely be the same, regardless of the operative approach that you choose.
There are 3 specific questions regarding standardization and patient selection that are of some concern.
By your account, 70 patients in this study had what you called disseminated disease at the time of surgical intervention. What staging and screening procedures were used before inclusion in this study?
Second, were there any attempts to standardize surgical techniques, and what were the clinical or anatomic factors that guided the decision to use a specific approach, or did it merely amount to a dealer's choice?
Third, you had alluded to prolonged operative time as an independent predictor of morbidity. What is your definition of prolonged operative time, and was the same definition applied to all groups?
I hope to hear more on the basis of this information.
Dr Rentz. Thank you. No center had a particularly high volume of cases, with the maximum number of procedures in either group being 27 TTEs over the 10-year period. The largest number of esophagectomies of both types performed at one center was 44 in 10 years. This would hardly qualify as a high-volume center. Therefore, we have chosen to remove it from the article, and I decided not to include it in this presentation in favor of a risk-stratification model that became available at a later period.
We did not have information on disseminated disease and staging procedures, because this was collected from 109 centers with a view to understanding what the patients went through and how the decision was made.
The choice of surgical technique was left to the surgeon, and, although we cannot say this was randomized, we do believe there is some validity in allowing the surgeons to proceed with the technique that they believe they are most comfortable performing.
Prolonged operative time is another issue that we evaluated, and the operative time for the groups was similar overall, and we looked at this as a continuous variable, meaning that we do not have a specific cutoff for time. However, it would appear that as operations proceed for longer periods, they will certainly have a higher risk of morbidity.
Dr Douglas Wood (Seattle, Wash). I am sure you have been warned about me potentially standing up and having a comment after having discussed a similar article from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) at the Society for Thoracic Surgeons' meeting. There certainly is great value in the analysis, and as to the results, part of them are a quantification of what we already know. That is useful. We know that functional status and poor nutritional status are high risk factors for virtually any surgical intervention and certainly for larger operations, such as esophagectomies. Having some quantification from the volume of information that you have and a risk-stratification model is useful information.
However, there are some potential confounding variables that your database and your analysis of it avoid. Dr Ehrman talked about the volume issue and that cannot be avoided. I would urge you to look at the same issues, not by volume of greater than 10 over the course of the series but greater than 5 or 10 per institution in a year, and to look at those volumes compared with the volumes of the cohort overall.
The other potential confounding variable is selection bias on the basis of expertise of surgeons. It is quite likely that general surgeons doing esophagectomies in the VA system would preferentially do THEs but potentially less frequently and with less expertise than thoracic surgeons who might choose transhiatal or transthoracic operations. That might have obscured a potential benefit of THE in your series, it being masked by an unexamined selection bias of the type of surgeons that are approaching it. Is there an ability with the NSQIP of looking at the volume issues and looking at the surgeons doing the procedure to try to get better details of comparison of morbidity and mortality between the procedures?
Dr Rentz. Dr Wood, thank you for bringing that up. It gives me the opportunity to speak about volume a bit more. Several, I believe it is 5, major centers of excellence throughout the country are joining the NSQIP, which will allow us to look at volume a bit better and to look at these centers, which are performing quite a few more than even 5 procedures a year. I think that will add quite a bit in the future, but it will take a number of years to get that online and to get good data from it.
As far as the selection bias, on the basis of your comments at the Society of Thoracic Surgeons' meeting, we have looked to see whether it is possible to know who is operating on patients with esophagectomies. It is possible through records at the VA system, but it is not part of the NSQIP at this time.
Dr Thomas Rice (Cleveland, Ohio). It is a very nice article. You are trying to compare 2 very dissimilar groups undergoing 2 very dissimilar operations, and I do not think you will be able to dissect any difference with your present analysis. Have you considered doing a propensity analysis, developing matched pairs, and seeing whether you can dissect out the difference between THE and TTE by this approach?
Dr Rentz. Yes, I believe you are exactly right. One of our goals was to try to understand when one operation is safer or will have a better outcome than another one, and I think that it is a logical next step to match them.
| References |
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