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J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2006;131:830-837
© 2006 The American Association for Thoracic Surgery
General Thoracic Surgery |
a Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, The Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Cleveland, Ohio.
b Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, The Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Cleveland, Ohio.
c Departement of Cardiothoracic Anesthesia, The Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Cleveland, Ohio.
d Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, The Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Cleveland, Ohio.
Received for publication May 20, 2005; revisions received August 12, 2005; accepted for publication September 9, 2005. * Address for reprints: Sudish C. Murthy, MD, PhD, Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, The Cleveland Clinic Foundation, 9500 Euclid Ave/Desk F24, Cleveland, OH 44195. (Email: murthys1{at}ccf.org).
| Abstract |
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METHODS: Between January 1, 1998, and September 1, 2001, 188 (1.4%) of 13,191 patients undergoing cardiovascular surgery had tracheostomy for respiratory failure 5 to 79 days (median, 14 days) after surgery. Factors associated with mortality were identified in the hazard function domain, and mode of death and complications of tracheostomy were determined by follow-up.
RESULTS: Survival was 75%, 50%, and 31% at 30 days, 3 months, and 2 years, respectively. The most important risk factors for death were older age (P = .004) and variables representing deteriorating hemodynamic (P < .0001), respiratory (P < .0001), and renal (P = .0001) function between the index cardiovascular operation and tracheostomy. The mode of death was isolated respiratory failure in only 21 (16%) of 130 patients, but multisystem organ failure in 71 (55%). Follow-up of 58 survivors identified voice complaints in 13 (24%), tracheal stenosis in 5 (9.2%), and permanent tracheostomy in 3 (6%).
CONCLUSIONS: Only one third of patients undergoing tracheostomy after cardiovascular surgery survive, because it is used primarily in those with deteriorating function of multiple organ systems. Although tracheostomy may enhance patient comfort and simplify nursing care, selection algorithms need to be developed if survival is the goal of the intervention.
| Introduction |
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| Patients and Methods |
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To appreciate the changing nature of patient condition from initial operation to tracheostomy, information was gathered (1) before surgery, through the cardiovascular operation (Tables 1 and 2),
and immediately after the operation (initial admission to ICU; Tables 3 and 4)
and (2) at tracheostomy, including interim events and changes in measurements and medications occurring between ICU admission and tracheostomy (Tables 5 and 6).
Data were collected prospectively and concurrently with patient care and recorded in the Cardiothoracic Anesthesia Database, which has been approved for research by the institutional review board. These data were supplemented by a detailed review of medical records.
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Follow-up
Follow-up was 93% complete (175 of 188 patients) and was obtained by review of medical records and telephone interviews with patients, their families, or referring physicians by using institutional review boardapproved protocols and questionnaires. For patients not traced, a search of the Social Security Death Index was used to determine vital status.
8,9
The mean and standard deviation of follow-up among survivors was 2.1 ± 0.99 years; 10% were followed more than 3.5 years. Outcome measures are defined in Appendix 1.
Data Analysis
Descriptive statistics
Categorical variables are summarized by frequencies and percentages, and continuous variables are summarized by means and standard deviations or medians and 15th and 85th percentiles. For consistency, coefficients in multivariable models are presented with 1 SE of the estimates, and probabilities and hazard estimates are accompanied by asymmetric 68% confidence limits (CLs) equivalent to 1 SE.
Survival after tracheostomy
Estimates of survival were obtained by the Kaplan-Meier method and by a parametric method that resolves the number of phases of instantaneous risk and estimates shaping parameters.
10
(For additional details, see http://www.clevelandclinic.org/heartcenter/hazard.)
Risk factors for death after tracheostomy
To understand the effect of changing patient condition on factors associated with mortality, a sequential analytic strategy was followed. The first analysis (sequence 1) was of preoperative, intraoperative, and ICU admission variables (Appendix 2). The second analysis (sequence 2) added (1) interim events between ICU admission and tracheostomy and (2) patient condition at tracheostomy.
Continuous and ordinal variables were retained in their original state to maximize information content. Original measurement scales were calibrated to assumptions of the analysis by transformation, as necessary (linearization).
Selection of factors for both analyses used bootstrap aggregation (bagging).
11,12
Automated analyses of 1000 random data sets were performed by using P < .05 as the criterion for variable retention. The resulting models were aggregated with results expressed as frequency of occurrence of both single factors and closely related clusters of factors. We considered factors or clusters appearing in at least 50% of analyses to be reliably statistically significant. Interaction among variables was then studied in a second bagging process to produce final models.
Modes of death
Primary modes of death were considered as mutually exclusive categories (Appendix 1). A hazard function for each mode was obtained, in an analysis of competing events,
13
by using both nonparametric and parametric methodology.
10,14
Likelihood of recovery after tracheostomy
The equation resulting from the multivariable analysis that included condition at tracheostomy (sequence 2) was solved across time to illustrate patients most and least likely to recover after tracheostomy.
| Presentation |
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| Results |
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Competing modes of death
The risk of death in cardiac failure at any time after tracheostomy declined with time, whereas MSOF peaked by approximately 2 weeks (Figure 2). The risk of death in isolated respiratory failure peaked 1 month after tracheostomy.
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After hospital transfer or discharge
Ascertainment of tracheostomy-related complications was possible in 109 (90%) of 121 discharged patients. Their most common complaint was a change in the quality or character of the voice (n = 14; 13%; CL, 9.5%-17%). Eleven noted hoarseness, 2 thought their voices were weak, and 1, a singer, had a normal speaking voice but had lost vocal range. Five patients (4.6%; CL, 2.6%-7.7%) had tracheal stenosis, 3 of them with permanent tracheostomies. Three patients (2.8%; CL, 1.2%-5.5%) self-decannulated in a skilled nursing facility. This led to death in 2 and emergency tube replacement in the third. Two patients (1.8%; CL, 0.6%-4.3%) bled from the tracheal stoma; tracheomalacia was documented in 1. One patient (0.9%; CL, 0.1%-3.1%) developed mediastinitis 2 months after tracheostomy and several weeks after hospital discharge, and 1 had a resolving tracheocutaneous fistula 1 year after decannulation.
| Discussion |
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Survival after tracheostomy
Nearly two thirds of patients who received tracheostomy died within the first year: half in the hospital and half after discharge or transfer. This illustrates the severity of the illness and the limited ability to salvage patients who experience MSOF after cardiovascular surgery.
In some acute settings, tracheostomy has been associated with lower mortality in the ICU.
1-4
However, the long-term prognosis of these patients is likely to be poor.
15-19
Although we had hypothesized that we were using tracheostomy more liberally (without triage) than critical care physicians in medical ICUs, long-term survival seems to be similar in both settings. Nevertheless, the one third of our patients who have survived self-report good functional status.
Risk factors for mortality after tracheostomy
A unique aspect of this study is that the changing condition of the patient was considered in a sequential analysis of risk factors for mortality after tracheostomy. Another is that we have quantified the importance of the changing condition of the patient from time of entry into the ICU until tracheostomy. Specifically, preoperative, intraoperative, and early postoperative risk factors for death were largely superseded by factors reflecting patient condition at tracheostomy. Risk factors based only on the first analysis (sequence 1) were not highly discriminating. That analysis emphasized that apart from older age, a risk factor previously identified,
15,17
the primary risk factor for death was hemodynamic status, particularly right or left ventricular failure (Table 7). Variables relating to respiratory state were less reliably associated with outcome.
However, when events that occurred between the index operation and tracheostomy, status of the patient at tracheostomy, and absolute change of multiple hemodynamic and respiratory variables were added to the analysis (sequence 2; Table 7), the importance of changed patient condition with respect to MSOF (respiratory, cardiac, and renal) was appreciated. Except for early use of milrinone, all variables from sequence 1 that related to patient status at the end of the index operation were far less important. It is interesting to note that intervening clinical events (infection, neurologic, renal, and parenteral and enteral nutrition) were not identified directly as risk factors, but were likely reflected in multisystem dysfunction. Clearly, the patient whose condition deteriorates throughout the postoperative period is unlikely to recover after tracheostomy.
Variation in the timing of tracheostomy was not associated with outcome, as was also found by Brook and colleagues
2
and suggested by others.
3,4
However, hospital costs may be decreased by early tracheostomy, despite its lack of effect on survival.
2
Modes of death
Another important contribution of this study is characterizing the mode of death in a temporal, competing-risks fashion. Most deaths early and late after tracheostomy were from MSOF. Only 10% of in-hospital deaths and 27% of postdischarge deaths were attributable to isolated respiratory failure (Table 8 and Figure 2). Clearly, death from pulmonary failure is delayed by the use of mechanical ventilatory support, but death from cardiac or multisystem failure is less preventable.
Safety of tracheostomy
An open technique of tracheostomy was used for all patients.
7
This approach proved to be easy, safe, and seldom complicated. It is interesting to note that unlike Curtis and colleagues,
6
we found no association of tracheostomy with mediastinitis, even though we used an open rather than a percutaneous technique.
Long-term sequelae of tracheostomy were few. Surprisingly, most long-term survivors had no complaints after decannulation; among those who did, the most frequent was a change in voice. These few late posttracheostomy complications contrast with vocal sequelae in more than one quarter of patients after percutaneous dilatational tracheostomy.
20
| Limitations |
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Survival after tracheostomy was a primary end point. There are other outcomes to consider, including patient comfort, advancement of oral nutrition, decreased use of sedation, improved patientfamily communication, and simplified nursing and respiratory care. However, because none of these end points could be easily abstracted and quantified, analyses were not possible. In addition, the date of death for patients who died of respiratory failure is somewhat artificial, reflecting in part family wishes to terminate support of chronically ventilator-dependent patients.
| Recommendations |
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Conflicting information exists regarding whether tracheostomy is lifesaving.
15,19
Indeed, decisions regarding tracheostomy after cardiovascular surgery should consider not only survival, but also patient comfort and nursing issues. However, consideration for tracheostomy earlier in the postoperative course may prevent some patients from deteriorating to the point of no return, thus decreasing the number of futile or merely supportive tracheostomies.
| Appendix 1 |
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Infections
Mediastinitis
Fever, sternal instability, and purulent drainage from the sternal wound requiring reoperation
Endocarditis
Fever associated with valve vegetations on echocardiogram and positive blood cultures
Pneumonia
Positive sputum culture and infiltrates on chest radiograph associated with fever, copious sputum production, and/or leukocytosis, for which antibiotic therapy is instituted
Empyema
Purulent material in the pleural space confirmed by cultures from chest tube drainage or thoracentesis
Urinary tract infection
Positive urine cultures for which antibiotics are prescribed
Soft tissue infection
Purulent drainage with positive cultures and institution of therapy, exclusive of mediastinal wounds
Bacteremia
Bacteria grown from blood cultures, for which antibiotic therapy is instituted
Complications
Superficial sternal wound infection
Drainage or cellulites for which antibiotics are given and/or for which the wound is opened and packed at bedside
Mediastinitis
Fever, sternal instability, and purulent drainage from the sternal wound for which the patient is returned to the operating room
Bleeding
Bleeding from the airway any time after tracheostomy requiring reoperation or transfusion
Voice
Self-assessment of a change in the strength or character of one's voice after decannulation
Self-decannulation
Unplanned removal of tracheostomy by the patient, resulting in adverse sequelae such as a readmission to the hospital, translaryngeal reintubation, hypoxia, or death
Tracheal stenosis
Dyspnea, stridor, or both, with stenosis at the stoma or below documented by fiber-optic visualization of the airway
Tracheomalacia
Persistent leak around the tracheostomy balloon, or dyspnea, and malacia documented by fiber-optic examination of the airway
Tracheocutaneous fistula
Persistent stoma more than 6 months after decannulation
Modes of Death
Neurologic
Stroke or intracerebral bleed documented by the consulting neurologist and head computed tomographic scan
Cardiac
Isolated persistent cardiogenic shock defined by some combination of acidosis (pH <7.35), low cardiac index (<2.0 L · min1 · m2), ejection fraction less than 30%, or dependence on inotropes
Respiratory
Isolated persistent respiratory failure defined by PaO2 less than 60 mm Hg, PaCO2 greater than 50 mm Hg; persistent diffuse infiltrates on chest radiograph or pneumonia; inability to wean from the ventilator; and, in 1 case, pulmonary embolus
Gastrointestinal
Isolated intra-abdominal catastrophe such as gastrointestinal bleeding, ischemia, or perforated viscus
Multisystem organ failure
Failure of 3 or more of the following organ systems:
| Appendix 2 |
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Preoperative
Demography
Sex, age at operation (years), height (centimeters), and weight (kilograms)
Clinical condition
Emergency operation
Cardiac status
Left ventricular function
Cardiac comorbidity
Pulmonary hypertension and number of previous cardiac operations
Noncardiac comorbidity
Serum albumin (grams per deciliter), blood urea nitrogen (milligrams per deciliter), creatinine (milligrams per deciliter), bilirubin (milligrams per deciliter), hematocrit (percentage), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease/asthma, history of heart failure, hypertension, history of smoking, stroke, diabetes (diet controlled, oral hypoglycemic treatment, insulin treatment), and dysrhythmia
Cardiac Procedure
Coronary artery bypass grafting, aortic valve replacement, mitral valve repair, mitral valve replacement, thoracic aortic surgery, cardiopulmonary bypass time, and aortic clamp time
Experience
Date of operation (years since January 1, 1997)
Upon Admission to the Intensive Care Unit
Cardiac status
Cardiac output (liters per minute), cardiac index (liters per minute per square meter), central venous pressure (millimeters of mercury), heart rate (beats per minute), pulmonary artery diastolic pressure (millimeters of mercury), pulmonary artery systolic pressure (millimeters of mercury), and mean systemic arterial pressure (millimeters of mercury)
Patient status
Ventricular rate (beats per minute), ventilatory support (mode), positive end-expiratory pressure (centimeters of water), tidal volume, fraction of inspired oxygen, core temperature (degrees centigrade), pH, PaCO2, PaO2, and
Medications given in intensive care unit (first 24 hours)
Amiodarone, dobutamine, epinephrine, lidocaine, milrinone, norepinephrine, phenylephrine, and vasopressin
At Tracheostomy
Cardiac status
Cardiac rhythm, central venous pressure (millimeters of mercury), heart rate (beats per minute), mean systemic arterial pressure (millimeters of mercury), cardiac output (liters per minute), and cardiac index (liters per minute per square meter)
Patient status
Ventricular rate (beats per minute), ventilatory support (mode), positive end-expiratory pressure (centimeters of water), fraction of inspired oxygen, tidal volume, mandatory ventilation, pressure control, pressure support, pH, PaCO2,
, and PaO2
Medications
Inotropes, antiarrhythmics, nitric oxide, paralytics, and vasopressors
Infection
Bacteremia, empyema, endocarditis, mediastinitis, pneumonia, soft tissue infection, and urinary tract infection
Neurologic
Stroke, encephalopathy, and spinal injury
Renal
Dialysis dependence, blood urea nitrogen (milligrams per deciliter), and creatinine (milligrams per deciliter)
Nutrition
Total parenteral nutrition and enteral feed
Interval
Operation to tracheostomy (days)
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| Acknowledgments |
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| References |
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This article has been cited by other articles:
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S. C. Murthy, A. C. Arroliga, P. A. Walts, J. Feng, J.-P. Yared, B. W. Lytle, and E. H. Blackstone Ventilatory dependency after cardiovascular surgery J. Thorac. Cardiovasc. Surg., August 1, 2007; 134(2): 484 - 490. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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