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J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2008;135:863-869
© 2008 The American Association for Thoracic Surgery
Surgery for Acquired Cardiovascular Disease |
a Hospital Sta Cruz, Carnaxide, Portugal
b Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Goteborg, Sweden
c Dresden University Hospital, Dresden, Germany
d San Raffaele Hospital, Milano, Italy
e Isala Klinieken, Zwolle, The Netherlands
f Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY
g Hospital General Universitario de Valencia, Valencia, Spain
h Policlinico S. Orsola, Bologna, Italy
i North Staffordshire Royal Infirmary, Staffordshire, United Kingdom
j Hospital Universitario de Valladolid, Vallodolid, Spain
Received for publication April 28, 2006; revisions received June 25, 2007; accepted for publication August 30, 2007. * Address for reprints: Joao Melo, MD, PhD, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Av. Prf. Reynaldo dos Santos, 2799-523 Carnaxide, Portugal. (Email: jmelo{at}hsc.min-saude.pt).
| Abstract |
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Methods: One thousand seven hundred twenty-three patients were enrolled. Patients with follow-up of longer than 1 year (n = 972) were divided into 3 groups according to surface electrocardiographic rhythm during follow-up visits: stable sinus rhythm, stable atrial fibrillation, and intermittent rhythms. Adverse cardiac event incidence and predictors of long-term outcome were compared among the 3 groups.
Results: In-hospital mortality was 2.6%. Risk factors for mortality were the cut-and-sew technique (odds ratio, 8.92; 95% confidence interval, 1.71–46.50; P = .009) and isolated left atrial procedure (odds ratio, 0.16; 95% confidence interval, 0.04–0.56; P = .004). At 1 year, 63.4% patients were in stable sinus rhythm. Stable sinus rhythm was found to be associated with early and late survival (P = .01, log-rank analysis). Multivariate binary logistic regression analysis found that left atrial dimension (odds ratio, 0.97; 95% confidence interval, 0.96–0.99; P = .005) and concomitant coronary revascularization (odds ratio, 0.48; 95% confidence interval, 0.25–0.92; P = .027) were independent predictors of stable sinus rhythm at 1 year after surgical intervention. At 48 months' follow-up, predictors for stable sinus rhythm were biatrial surgical approach and absence of preoperative permanent atrial fibrillation (odds ratio, 3.56; 95% confidence interval, 1.62–7.83; P < .002). Left atrial size (each millimeter) has a borderline statistical significance (odds ratio, 0.97; 95% confidence interval, 0.93–1.00; P = .065). Thromboembolic events were found to be associated with absence of stable sinus rhythm (P = .010, log-rank analysis).
Conclusions: The achievement of stable sinus rhythm is a predictor of better survival and lower incidence of thromboembolic events. Predictors of stable sinus rhythm were smaller dimensions of the left atrium, biatrial approach, absence of preoperative permanent atrial fibrillation, and absence of concomitant coronary artery bypass grafting.
| Introduction |
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| See related editorial on page 727.
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Recent reports of outcomes after atrial fibrillation treatment with mitral valve surgery have been limited by the lack of a clear definition of patient selection criteria and of consistent data on long-term results.1
Heart rhythm instability after these procedures is frequent. Nomenclature for these different rhythms is not uniform, and results are often described as "out of atrial fibrillation" or "regular rhythms," which have led to some misleading conclusions.1,2
Long-term use of concomitant antiarrhythmic medication after surgical intervention is seldom reported.
The International Registry for Atrial Fibrillation Surgery (RAFS) covers a large cohort of patients submitted to atrial fibrillation surgery in different clinical contexts. RAFS uses a common nomenclature for clinical variables and a standardized reporting method for the surgical procedure and clinical outcomes.
The aim of this study was to assess the clinical and survival benefit, if any, of sinus rhythm recovery in the subset of patients submitted to mitral valve surgery included in the RAFS. Safety, efficacy, and benefits of atrial fibrillation surgery were evaluated on short- and long-term data. Late use of antiarrhythmic therapy was also assessed.
A classification based on heart rhythm stability after mitral valve surgery was used. The effect of recovery of stable sinus rhythm (sSR) on patient survival and on major adverse cardiac events was studied.
| Materials and Methods |
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A total of 56 variables were included concerning demographic and clinical data at discharge and during follow-up. Common accepted nomenclature for the reported variables can be viewed at www.registryafsurgery.com, with the most significant ones being described in
Table 1.
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In each of the 972 patients, rhythm was determined at every follow-up visit according to the institutional protocol. Three institutions used 24-hour Holter monitoring in the first 6 months and electrocardiography at each follow-up visit thereafter, 1 institution used either method throughout the follow-up period according to the case, and the remaining used 12-lead electrocardiographic recordings.
Patients were divided into 3 groups according to the rhythm documented during the first year: sSR, stable atrial fibrillation (sAF), and intermittent rhythms. sSR was defined as sinus rhythm at all follow-up visits during the first year.
A similar criterion was adopted for sAF. All other rhythms were described as intermittent rhythms. Atrial flutter rhythm was considered as sAF for analysis purposes.
Adverse cardiac event incidence and predictors of long-term outcome were compared in the 3 groups.
Summary statistics were presented as frequencies and percentages, means ± standard deviation, medians, and interquartile ranges. Missing data were not defaulted to negative, and denominators reflect only actual reported cases.
Associations of outcomes among nominal variables were compared by using the
2 test with the Yates correction or the 2-sided Fisher exact test, when appropriate. Bivariate comparisons of continuous variables were investigated with the Student t test.
Survival analyses with Kaplan–Meier methods were performed to estimate survival and freedom from thromboembolic events. Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify the predictors of early and late mortality and the predictors of maintenance in sSR.
Iterative logistic modeling was performed for sSR by using the likelihood ratio test for model selection.
| Results |
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In-hospital morbidity occurred in 153 (9%) patients (99 %CI, 7%–11%). These patients experienced 217 complications (
Table 3), an average of 1.4 complications per patient.
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Patients with follow-up of less than 1 year were excluded from midterm analysis. Survival and embolic event analysis were performed in the remaining 972 patients.
Rhythm at 1 year was documented by means of electrocardiography in 869 patients by using Holter monitoring in 101 patients and by means of intracavitary recordings in 2 patients.
Biatrial approaches were used in 307 of 972 patients, and follow-up data at 1, 2, 3, and 4 years were available in 244, 104, 94, and 59 subjects, respectively.
At 1 year, 66% of patients were in sinus rhythm, 2.72% were in atrial flutter, 25% were in atrial fibrillation, and 6.3% had other rhythms (atrial, nodal, and pacing).
One hundred fourteen (6.6%) patients died during follow-up, and 144 adverse cardiac events were found in 120 (14.5%) patients. Considering the patient subset with long-term follow-up (>48 months, n = 181), the attrition rate for losing sSR was 3% per year.
sSR was found to be associated with higher early and late survival (P = .01, log-rank analysis) when compared with all other heart rhythms (
Figures 1 and 2).
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Twenty-five (3%) patients experienced thromboembolic events. Thromboembolic events were found to be associated with absence of sSR (P = .010, log-rank analysis;
Figure 3).
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| Discussion |
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It is well known that sinus rhythm recovery is not always achieved. Moreover, a significant number of patients can change rhythm over time, mainly in the first 6 months after surgical intervention, probably as a result of the healing process, neurohumoral modulation, or both.9-12
Classifying these patients based on their discharge rhythms makes them behave as crossovers and creates confusion in outcome assessment.
The use of a clear definition of sSR in the first year after mitral surgery enabled us to assess the clinical outcome of atrial fibrillation surgery in those patients in whom it is truly effective (nearly two thirds in this registry) and identify sSR as a predictor for survival and decreased incidence of thromboembolic events. This finding emphasizes the importance of identifying those patients in whom the restoration of sinus rhythm is an achievable goal and who should be given the opportunity to attain it. Our results suggest that appropriate patient selection should take into account left atrial dimensions, concomitant coronary heart disease, and the type of atrial fibrillation.
Concomitant myocardial revascularization was a negative predictor of maintenance in sinus rhythm. This association might reflect a more advanced stage of myocardial disease and difficulties in controlling arrhythmia in the presence of ischemia. These results are in contrast with the ones published by Prasad and colleagues.13
As previously reported, left atrial dimension was an independent predictor of sSR 1 year after surgical intervention.14
Our findings confirm that the likelihood of maintenance in sinus rhythm decreases as a continuum with increasing left atrial size, with a best cutoff point at 55 mm. The presence of preoperative permanent atrial fibrillation was a negative independent predictor of sSR at 4 years but not at 1 year, where it was surpassed by the short-term predictors left atrial size and concomitant revascularization. According to our findings, patients undergoing multiple valve procedures should not be excluded as candidates for atrial fibrillation treatment because concomitant non–mitral valve surgery was not associated with a decrease in effectiveness. This might reflect selection bias but also the fact that patients requiring multiple valve procedures currently receive surgical treatment at much earlier stages than a few years ago.
Interestingly, a biatrial approach was an independent predictor for staying in sSR but was also associated with increased in-hospital mortality and the need for a permanent pacemaker. Further studies will be needed to identify the patients in whom the apparent benefit of this approach outweighs its potential risks. The greater effectiveness of biatrial approaches is not surprising. The highest reported rates of conversion to sinus rhythm belong to the maze procedure,9
a biatrial surgical technique. The importance of right atrial intervention is also underscored by the modest but instructive crude success rates (8%–12%) of previous studies on catheter ablation with right atrial compartmentalization.10
The high prevalence of antiarrhythmic therapy postoperatively might also have contributed to the preservation of sinus rhythm during follow-up. Although the use of antiarrhythmic drugs might reflect an effort to keep these complex patients in sinus rhythm, it is probably magnified by the use of β-blockers and digoxin in the treatment of concomitant hypertension and chronic heart failure.
Several limitations of this study must be acknowledged. First, despite the large number of patients included in the registry, the sample size of this study is still suboptimal because an important proportion of patients were lost to follow-up during the first postoperative year and were excluded from further analysis. Because the data were collected retrospectively into a registry, patient selection and surgical technique were largely unstandardized. The use of 12-lead electrocardiography to establish rhythm during follow-up reflects the rhythm at a given moment and overestimates the success rate of these surgical procedures. Because treatment options were not randomized, differences in outcome between a biatrial approach versus a left atrial approach only and cut-and-sew methods versus ablation methods might reflect selection bias rather than real differences in the safety and efficacy of surgical techniques. Before establishing a definite relationship between the achievement of sSR and improved outcomes, the effect of variables, such as cardiovascular risk factors that were not consistently recorded in this registry, should be taken into account.
In spite of the above limitations, these are encouraging results that require confirmation in large randomized controlled trials.
| Footnotes |
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Stefano Benussi reports consulting fees from Estech; lecture fees from St Jude, Medtronic, and Cryocath; and an educational grant from Atricure.
| References |
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