|
|
||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2008;136:798-799
© 2008 The American Association for Thoracic Surgery
Letter to the Editor |
Consultant Anaesthetist, Royal Brompton and Harefield NHS Trust, Harefield, UK
To the Editor:
I write to comment on the editorials by Drs Sundt1
(April 2008) and Westaby2
(March 2008). Dr Sundt is perceptive but fails to consider that the observational studies suggesting a danger with aprotinin may have had bias in the analysis.
At the advisory committee meeting of the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) held on September 12, 2007, Dr Mangano allowed the FDA access to the McSPI (Multicenter Study of Perioperative Ischemia) data set. Whereas Mangano and colleagues3
used a propensity score that was based on likelihood of bleeding, the FDA reanalysis of these data used stratification according to risk of adverse outcome. The FDA analysis showed no increases in relative risks (RRs) for death (RR 0.91, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.54–1.53), heart failure (RR 1.05, 95% CI 0.75–1.47), myocardial infarction (RR 1.10, 95% CI 0.88—1.39), or renal dysfunction (RR 1.26, 95% CI 0.76–2.11) when data from 1222 aprotinin-treated patients were compared with those of 1307 patients who did not receive the drug.4
At the same FDA meeting, Dr Karkouti, who used matching of pairs of data, showed that the inclusion into the model of cardiopulmonary bypass variables (time and circulatory arrest) and transfusion (>4 units of red blood cells and fresh-frozen plasma) removed the statistical effects of aprotinin on renal function.4
The Toronto data have never shown any other mortality or morbidity risk. Dr Funary also presented the North West Consortium analysis, which showed that any apparent effect of aprotinin on adverse outcome is lost when red blood cell transfusion numbers are included as a confounding variable.5
In the article from Shaw and colleagues6
of the Duke University Medical Center, the populations of patients receiving aprotinin or
-aminocaproic acid (EACA) were hugely different. No matter how clever the statistical modeling, clinicians will recognize that there must be differences in management and outcome between a patient with isolated myocardial ischemia undergoing primary, elective revascularization (given EACA) and one undergoing a nonelective reoperation for heart failure associated with valve pathology (who would likely receive aprotinin in about 70%-80% of cases worldwide). Despite this, Shaw and colleagues6
concluded that aprotinin use was the factor associated with mortality when comparing data from 1343 aprotinin-treated patients with those from 6776 given EACA and 2029 given neither therapy.
Two aspects may lead the interested reader to question this conclusion. First, the propensity analysis did not include red blood cell transfusion numbers as a factor (transfusion was graded as either yes or no). More worrisome is that a matched-pairs analysis was relegated to the supplementary data available online from the New England Journal of Medicine. In this analysis, which included 1992 patients with comparable risks, aprotinin showed no effects on 30-day (P = .58) and 1-year mortalities (P = .36) relative to EACA.
Thus if propensity scoring is achieved by linear regression, and confounding variables known to be associated with adverse outcomes are excluded, then observational studies show aprotinin to be a dangerous drug. Aprotinin is not seen to be dangerous, however, when the analysis is performed with matching or stratification of risk and known confounders are included.
References
This article has been cited by other articles:
![]() |
D. L. Ngaage and J. M. Bland Lessons from aprotinin: is the routine use and inconsistent dosing of tranexamic acid prudent? Meta-analysis of randomised and large matched observational studies Eur J Cardiothorac Surg, June 1, 2010; 37(6): 1375 - 1383. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| HOME | HELP | FEEDBACK | SUBSCRIPTIONS | ARCHIVE | SEARCH | TABLE OF CONTENTS |
| ANN THORAC SURG | ASIAN CARDIOVASC THORAC ANN | EUR J CARDIOTHORAC SURG |
| J THORAC CARDIOVASC SURG | ICVTS | ALL CTSNet JOURNALS |