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J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2009;137:65-69
© 2009 The American Association for Thoracic Surgery
Acquired Cardiovascular Disease |
a Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Ore
b Department of Surgery, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Ore
Received for publication July 3, 2008; revisions received September 2, 2008; accepted for publication September 23, 2008. * Address for reprints: Howard K. Song, MD, PhD, Assistant Professor, Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Oregon Health & Science University, Mail Code L353, 3181 SW Sam Jackson Park Rd, Portland, OR 97239. (Email: songh{at}ohsu.edu).
| Abstract |
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Methods: A retrospective study was carried out utilizing the Nationwide Inpatient Sample to track the characteristics and outcomes of 5,549,700 patients having isolated coronary artery bypass grafting in the United States from 1988 to 2005. Expected mortality, risk-adjusted mortality, and hospital charges were tracked over this period.
Results: The prevalence of congestive heart failure, pulmonary disease, diabetes, and acute myocardial infarction increased significantly over the study period. Expected mortality increased from 2.57% to 3.66%, reflecting the increasing patient comorbidity burden (P < .0001). Despite this, coronary artery bypass grafting outcomes improved, leading to a decrease in risk-adjusted mortality from 6.20% to 2.12% (P < .0001). Furthermore, when hospital charges were corrected for medical care inflation, hospital charges declined significantly, from $26,210 in 1988 to $19,196 in 2005 (1988 dollars, P < .0001).
Conclusions: Coronary artery bypass grafting surgery is being performed on an increasingly complex, high-risk patient population in the United States. Despite this challenge, risk-adjusted operative mortality has progressively declined. Moreover, hospital charges for coronary artery bypass grafting in relation to other medical care services have been reduced. These findings reflect improved quality and cost-effectiveness of coronary artery bypass grafting in the United States. Ongoing efforts directed at quality improvement should address the risks associated with comorbidities that increasingly accompany the diagnosis of coronary artery disease in patients having coronary artery bypass grafting.
| Introduction |
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This study was undertaken to assess the impact of these changes on CABG quality and cost-effectiveness in the United States over an 18-year period. A retrospective study was carried out utilizing the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS), a project of the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. This database is the largest all-payer inpatient care database publicly available in the United States and allows analysis of national trends in health care utilization, outcomes, and charges. Given the current economic challenges faced by the health care system, studies of treatments that measure quality as well as cost-effectiveness will be important to assess the efficiency of health care delivery.
| Materials and Methods |
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Cases were included in the analysis if they had a recorded CABG procedure, International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) procedure code 36.1 and all subcodes. Cases were excluded if they had an aortic, mitral, or tricuspid valve replacement (35.21 to 35.24, 35.27, 35.28), excision of aneurysm or other lesion (37.32, 37.33), partial ventriculectomy (37.35), heart revascularization (36.3 and all subcodes), heart transplant (37.5 and all subcodes), thoracic vessel resection (38.45), or endarterectomy of carotid artery or jugular vein (38.12). Patients having these procedures were excluded to yield an isolated CABG population.
The primary end points were in-hospital mortality and total charges. Total charges generally do not include professional fees and noncovered charges. Patient comorbidities were defined based on diagnosis codes present in the discharge abstract as described previously.14
Expected and risk-adjusted mortalities were determined from a logistic regression model of in-hospital mortality adjusting for age, sex, comorbidities (congestive heart failure, chronic pulmonary disease, diabetes [complicated or uncomplicated], peripheral vascular disorders, liver disease, renal failure, and cerebral vascular disease [defined as ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes 433 and all subcodes and 437.0]), preoperative conditions (primary diagnosis of myocardial infarction, cardiac catheterization on the same day as CABG, previous CABG [ICD-9-CM code V45.81], and admission status [elective versus nonelective]). Risk-adjustment variables were selected based on available variables that have previously been found to be associated with mortality in CABG and have been used in previous studies using administrative data.15,16
From this model, a predicted mortality for every patient was determined. From these individual predicted mortalities, the expected mortality for each year was determined and the ratio of observed to expected mortality was multiplied by the overall mortality to give the expected mortality rate for each year.
Charge data were adjusted for inflation using the Consumer Price Index published by the US Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. The specific series used were US city average all items (series CUUS0000SA0) and US city average medical care services (series CUUS0000SAM2). The medical care services series includes professional services, hospital and related services, and health insurance. Charge data were normalized to 1988 dollars.
This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board at Oregon Health & Science University. Individual consent was waived.
| Results |
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As shown in Figure 1 , expected mortality progressively increased over the 18-year interval from 2.57% to 3.66% (solid line, P < .0001). This reflects the increasing prevalence of patient comorbidities known to influence risk at the time of CABG.
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Given the increase in patient comorbidities seen in the CABG patient population, there was interest to determine how this may have impacted the economic outcomes of CABG. Hospital charges for CABG admissions were tracked over the study period and are depicted in Figure 2 . When corrected for all-item inflation, hospital charges associated with CABG increased from $26,410 in 1988 to $46,734 in 2005 (1988 dollars, solid line, P < .0001). Hospital charges were relatively stable over the years 1994 to 1999, but increased from $30,813 in 1999 to $46,734 in 2005.
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| Discussion |
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The decrease in mortality was progressive over the entire study period and is likely related to multiple incremental advances in surgery practice and the related fields of anesthesiology and critical care as opposed to singular advances. In addition to technical advances, the introduction of quality improvement programs have had a profound effect on cardiac surgery outcomes.11,21-23
Cardiothoracic surgeons have been leaders in this area and continue to champion voluntary clinical databases for the purpose of both regional and national efforts in quality improvement.
The improvement in risk-adjusted mortality was achieved with decreased hospital charges for CABG after adjustment for medical inflation. The improved safety of CABG is likely to have led to some of this decrease in hospital charges, as avoidance of complications is associated with lower procedural cost.24,25
In addition, numerous practice pathways were implemented into cardiovascular surgery practice during the study period, leading to improved efficiency and decreased cost.26
An example of improved safety and efficiency is seen in the reduction in length of stay associated with CABG, which decreased from 11 to 8 days over the study period (P < 0.0001, data not shown). A concerning finding of our study is that the recent period from 2000 to 2005 saw increases in hospital charges after adjustment for medical inflation, possibly reflecting the higher cost of care for an increasingly complex patient population.
This study utilized the NIS to track trends in CABG practice in the United States. Advantages of this database include its national scope, the relatively long period for which data are available, and the availability of charge information on all patients, regardless of payer. The NIS is not a clinical database, and its data fields were not designed to risk model CABG outcomes. Inpatient stay data are derived from information typically available from discharge abstracts. The NIS is therefore subject to coding errors and changes in reporting patterns that may have occurred over time.
To test the accuracy for prediction of the logistic risk model, a c-index was calculated and found to be 0.71, which was reassuring.15
This value, which is a traditional approach to assess model performance, fell in the same range as that reported for risk models using clinical databases, including the Society of Thoracic Surgeons National Adult Cardiac Surgery Database.
Another weakness of the study was that although the charge data are useful to track trends in CABG resource utilization, they do not provide an assessment of the cost–utility relationship associated with CABG, as charge data lack an estimate of CABG benefit such as quality-adjusted life-years. Furthermore, hospital charges only reflect part of the total cost of CABG to the health care system and do not account for the total cost of recovery, including inpatient rehabilitation.
Despite these limitations, this study does demonstrate the increasing complexity of the patient population having CABG in the United States. The continuous pursuit of increased safety and efficiency in cardiovascular surgery has led to improved clinical outcomes and greater cost-effectiveness. Ongoing efforts directed at quality improvement should address the risks associated with the comorbidities that increasingly accompany the diagnosis of coronary artery disease in our patients. Cost containment will continue to be a challenge as the CABG population continues to become more complex.
| References |
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